The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy - What the Cycles of History Tell Us About America's Next Rendezvous with Destiny

Author: William Strauss, Neil Howe
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by justinzollars   2021-01-13
I recommend reading William Strauss and Neil Howe's book The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy - What the Cycles of History Tell Us About America's Next Rendezvous with Destiny [1]. The book introduces the idea of generational cycles [2] According to the theory, historical events are associated with recurring generational personas (archetypes) and I couldn't put it down when I read it over the summer. Several people whom I deeply respect recommended this book, including the famous bond trader Jeffrey Gundlach.

After reading the book, it was really no surprise to me when the capital was overrun with rioters. The book convinced me, we could very well have a bloody revolution or war considering the unaddressed underlying conditions: extreme wealth inequality, pandemic, desperation, hunger and feeling like one has no personal stake. The rise of China and decline of the United States contributes to another dangerous possible outcome. The tech industry's most recent moves to purge conservatives/libertarians may make our social condition even worse, by isolating rather than including the most desperate people in our society.



by chaostheory   2020-09-25
Corruption never disappears completely, but it's pervasiveness seems to be cyclical. The 4th Turning is a good read on the subject

by sambull   2019-08-24

The wiki article sources this book in several spots, also written by Strauss and Howe:

And the method that captivated people like Bannon:

The theory isn't hard and two of his chief strategist believe it solves their ills.

by GingerRoot96   2019-08-24

After reading The Fourth Turning and witnessing what has occurred the last 4 years and is currently happening now, yes. It was written in the 90s and predicted a great possibility of a WW2 type event sometime around 2020-2024. It posits it based on natural historical cycles and gives tons of proof and evidence, beyond conjecture. 9/11 came like being sucker punched and no one really had premonitions but now, you can feel it in the air. Heavy.

by peppermint-kiss   2017-08-19

Have you read The Fourth Turning ? There is nothing new under the sun.

by peppermint-kiss   2017-08-19

Yes! Read The Fourth Turning . Gen Z (referred to as 'Homelanders' in modern day Strauss-Howe theory) are most similar to the Silent Generation in terms of cultural and political role.

'Most conversative' is unlikely. That falls to Gen X. They are conservative in the sense of being more hesitant, less risk-taking, more of a "compromise" generation, who cares about each others' feelings and being "good boys and good girls". But they are much less self-interested and laissez-faire than baby boomers, and much less "rugged individualist" libertarian than Gen Xers. That said, they will likely not be as left-leaning as Millennials (or the G.I. before us, who shared our generational archetype).