A Random Walk down Wall Street: The Time-tested Strategy for Successful Investing

Category: Investing
Author: Burton G. Malkiel
This Month Hacker News 1


by jumbopapa   2019-09-05
Learn about it. I would recommend A Random Walk Down Wall Street [1] and The Boglehead's Guide to Investing [2]. They will give you a good primer, but in essence the best thing you can do it nothing at all. As you get older you'll want to make sure bonds take up a larger percentage of your portfolio, but really you're fine. The old sayings is "time in the market, not timing the market".

[1] - https://www.amazon.com/Random-Walk-down-Wall-Street/dp/03933... [2] - https://www.amazon.com/Bogleheads-Guide-Investing-Taylor-Lar...

by crazygringo   2018-11-10
Sure it shows the algorithm beats a hold strategy in 8/10 instances...

...but the "hodlometer.com" domain was registered 3 days ago.

It's trivial to develop an algorithm by cherry-picking parameters that will give any desired results for historical data.

But there's vast research on how it's impossible to predict/beat the market like this in reality [1], and this site is obviously designed to prey on the uneducated and naive.

[1] For a good intro, see chapter 5 of "A Random Walk Down Wall Street" which talks about "technical analysis", which is exactly what HODLometer is doing -- https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0393352242